★ Butterfly Knife | Fade
This is a custom-designed balisong, commonly known as a butterfly knife. The defining characteristic of this weapon is the fan-like opening of a freely pivoting blade, allowing rapid deployment or concealment. As a result, butterfly knives are outlawed in many countries. It has been painted by airbrushing transparent paints that fade together over a chrome base coat.\n\n<i>This isn't just a weapon, it's a conversation piece - Imogen, Arms Dealer In Training</i>
Cheapest wear we have on this page. Pattern / float overpay is extra.
Operation Breakout Weapon Case: (case+key) ÷ drop chance. Average, not a promise.
Covert / missing collection peers: no contract estimate.
Price History & Performance
Price by Wear
★ Butterfly Knife | Fade cannot roll Field-Tested, Well-Worn, Battle-Scarred because its float cap is 0–0.08. Wear ranges.
Pattern guides: CS2 Fade Percent
Cases & Drop Odds for ★ Butterfly Knife | Fade
Probability of unboxing this skin per single case open, expected number of opens until you get one, and the case's expected return based on the current market value of every skin inside.
| Case | Drop Chance | Expected Opens | Open Cost | Market EV | EV vs Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Operation Breakout Weapon Case | 0.0200% | 5,000 | $14.00 | $0.65 | -95.4% |
Drop chance = official rarity odds ÷ size of that rarity pool inside the case. Market EV is the probability-weighted average of every skin's lowest current listing. "EV vs Cost" compares that EV against the case + key price — negative means opening loses money on average.
Where to Buy ★ Butterfly Knife | Fade
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