AWP | Wildfire
The Operation Wildfire logo hand-painted over a black and red base coat defines the appearance of the AWP | Wildfire, a Covert skin from The CS20 Collection. It is obtainable through the CS20 Case and carries a float range of 0.01 to 0.70, excluding factory new at the lowest threshold. The bold graphic design makes the finish immediately identifiable. StatTrak versions are available, allowing for kill tracking. The finish's tagline references the nail that sticks out, fitting for a weapon with such a distinctive, visually prominent design.
Cheapest wear we have on this page. Pattern / float overpay is extra.
CS20 Case: (case+key) ÷ drop chance. Average, not a promise.
Covert / missing collection peers: no contract estimate.
Price History & Performance
Price by Wear
Cases & Drop Odds for AWP | Wildfire
Probability of unboxing this skin per single case open, expected number of opens until you get one, and the case's expected return based on the current market value of every skin inside.
| Case | Drop Chance | Expected Opens | Open Cost | Market EV | EV vs Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 CS20 Case | — | — | $4.46 | $0.65 | -85.4% |
Drop chance = official rarity odds ÷ size of that rarity pool inside the case. Market EV is the probability-weighted average of every skin's lowest current listing. "EV vs Cost" compares that EV against the case + key price — negative means opening loses money on average.
Where to Buy AWP | Wildfire
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