★ Bayonet | Case Hardened
The ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened is a Covert knife skin available across an extensive list of cases including the CS:GO Weapon Case, Operation Bravo Case, and Revolver Case, among others. StatTrak versions exist. The finish is produced through color case-hardening using wood charcoal at high temperatures, generating swirling blue, gold, and purple color distributions across the blade and handle. Floats span 0.00 to 1.00 across all conditions. The specific placement and ratio of blue coloring on the blade varies by pattern, and surface wear at higher floats reduces the intensity of the thermally induced hues.
Cheapest wear we have on this page. Pattern / float overpay is extra.
eSports 2013 Winter Case: (case+key) ÷ drop chance. Average, not a promise.
Covert / missing collection peers: no contract estimate.
Price History & Performance
Price by Wear
Pattern guides: Case Hardened Blue Gem
Cases & Drop Odds for ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened
Probability of unboxing this skin per single case open, expected number of opens until you get one, and the case's expected return based on the current market value of every skin inside.
| Case | Drop Chance | Expected Opens | Open Cost | Market EV | EV vs Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 eSports 2013 Winter Case | 0.0130% | 7,692 | $39.11 | $0.65 | -98.3% |
 CS:GO Weapon Case | 0.0130% | 7,692 | $205.65 | $0.65 | -99.7% |
 eSports 2014 Summer Case | 0.0130% | 7,692 | $27.83 | $0.65 | -97.7% |
 Winter Offensive Weapon Case | 0.0130% | 7,692 | $19.30 | $0.65 | -96.6% |
 Operation Bravo Case | 0.0130% | 7,692 | $96.72 | $0.65 | -99.3% |
 CS:GO Weapon Case 3 | 0.0130% | 7,692 | $22.62 | $0.65 | -97.1% |
 eSports 2013 Case | 0.0130% | 7,692 | $83.00 | $0.65 | -99.2% |
 Operation Vanguard Weapon Case | 0.0130% | 7,692 | $11.77 | $0.65 | -94.5% |
 CS:GO Weapon Case 2 | 0.0130% | 7,692 | $38.11 | $0.65 | -98.3% |
 Operation Phoenix Weapon Case | 0.0130% | 7,692 | $8.86 | $0.65 | -92.7% |
 Revolver Case | 0.0130% | 7,692 | $6.96 | $0.65 | -90.7% |
Drop chance = official rarity odds ÷ size of that rarity pool inside the case. Market EV is the probability-weighted average of every skin's lowest current listing. "EV vs Cost" compares that EV against the case + key price — negative means opening loses money on average.
Where to Buy ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened
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