★ Bowie Knife | Fade
Produced by airbrushing transparent paints over a chrome base coat, the ★ Bowie Knife | Fade is a Covert knife found in the Operation Wildfire Case. The technique creates a smooth gradient transition across the full-tang sawback blade, with the underlying chrome influencing how the fade reads under different lighting. Float values max out at 0.08, restricting all copies to Factory New or near-Minimal Wear condition and ensuring the fade gradient stays visually clean and undistorted by surface wear. StatTrak versions are obtainable.
Cheapest wear we have on this page. Pattern / float overpay is extra.
Operation Wildfire Case: (case+key) ÷ drop chance. Average, not a promise.
Covert / missing collection peers: no contract estimate.
Price History & Performance
Price by Wear
★ Bowie Knife | Fade cannot roll Field-Tested, Well-Worn, Battle-Scarred because its float cap is 0–0.08. Wear ranges.
Pattern guides: CS2 Fade Percent
Cases & Drop Odds for ★ Bowie Knife | Fade
Probability of unboxing this skin per single case open, expected number of opens until you get one, and the case's expected return based on the current market value of every skin inside.
| Case | Drop Chance | Expected Opens | Open Cost | Market EV | EV vs Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Operation Wildfire Case | 0.0200% | 5,000 | $7.96 | $0.65 | -91.8% |
Drop chance = official rarity odds ÷ size of that rarity pool inside the case. Market EV is the probability-weighted average of every skin's lowest current listing. "EV vs Cost" compares that EV against the case + key price — negative means opening loses money on average.
Where to Buy ★ Bowie Knife | Fade
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