★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched
The Butterfly Knife Scorched is a Covert balisong skin from the Operation Breakout Weapon Case. The blade has been spray-painted in a sun-dappled pattern that scatters irregular patches of color across the surface, evoking light filtering through foliage. The butterfly knife's pivoting blade mechanism allows rapid opening and concealment, a feature that has resulted in it being banned in numerous countries. Float values are bounded between 0.06 and 0.80. StatTrak versions of the Butterfly Knife Scorched are available.
Cheapest wear we have on this page. Pattern / float overpay is extra.
Operation Breakout Weapon Case: (case+key) ÷ drop chance. Average, not a promise.
Covert / missing collection peers: no contract estimate.
Price History & Performance
Price by Wear
Cases & Drop Odds for ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched
Probability of unboxing this skin per single case open, expected number of opens until you get one, and the case's expected return based on the current market value of every skin inside.
| Case | Drop Chance | Expected Opens | Open Cost | Market EV | EV vs Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Operation Breakout Weapon Case | 0.0200% | 5,000 | $14.00 | $0.65 | -95.4% |
Drop chance = official rarity odds ÷ size of that rarity pool inside the case. Market EV is the probability-weighted average of every skin's lowest current listing. "EV vs Cost" compares that EV against the case + key price — negative means opening loses money on average.
Where to Buy ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched
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