★ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel
Through a cold bluing process, the Falchion Knife | Blue Steel achieves its muted blue-grey metallic finish across the curved clip point blade. The Falchion Knife's design draws from the traditional falchion sword, and the cold bluing treatment applies evenly to its distinctive profile. This Covert skin is exclusively obtainable from the Falchion Case and spans a float range of 0 to 1.0. StatTrak tracking is available, and the finish is accompanied by a quote from Booth, Arms Dealer.
Cheapest wear we have on this page. Pattern / float overpay is extra.
Falchion Case: (case+key) ÷ drop chance. Average, not a promise.
Covert / missing collection peers: no contract estimate.
Price History & Performance
Price by Wear
Cases & Drop Odds for ★ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel
Probability of unboxing this skin per single case open, expected number of opens until you get one, and the case's expected return based on the current market value of every skin inside.
| Case | Drop Chance | Expected Opens | Open Cost | Market EV | EV vs Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Falchion Case | 0.0200% | 5,000 | $5.12 | $0.65 | -87.3% |
Drop chance = official rarity odds ÷ size of that rarity pool inside the case. Market EV is the probability-weighted average of every skin's lowest current listing. "EV vs Cost" compares that EV against the case + key price — negative means opening loses money on average.
Where to Buy ★ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel
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