★ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade
Featuring the curved clip point blade that defines the Falchion Knife's modern take on the classic falchion sword, the Marble Fade finish is produced by applying black and silver metallic paints through a marbleizing medium before adding a candy coat in three distinct colors. This Covert knife is sourced from the Spectrum Case and the Spectrum 2 Case, with a float range capped at 0.08. StatTrak variants are available.
Cheapest wear we have on this page. Pattern / float overpay is extra.
Spectrum 2 Case: (case+key) ÷ drop chance. Average, not a promise.
Covert / missing collection peers: no contract estimate.
Price History & Performance
Price by Wear
★ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade cannot roll Field-Tested, Well-Worn, Battle-Scarred because its float cap is 0–0.08. Wear ranges.
Pattern guides: CS2 Fade Percent
Cases & Drop Odds for ★ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade
Probability of unboxing this skin per single case open, expected number of opens until you get one, and the case's expected return based on the current market value of every skin inside.
| Case | Drop Chance | Expected Opens | Open Cost | Market EV | EV vs Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Spectrum 2 Case | — | — | $7.24 | $0.65 | -91.0% |
 Spectrum Case | — | — | $8.51 | $0.65 | -92.4% |
Drop chance = official rarity odds ÷ size of that rarity pool inside the case. Market EV is the probability-weighted average of every skin's lowest current listing. "EV vs Cost" compares that EV against the case + key price — negative means opening loses money on average.
Where to Buy ★ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade
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