M249 | Nebula Crusader
Custom painted to resemble a classic arcade cabinet, the M249 | Nebula Crusader is a Restricted LMG skin from The Shadow Collection, dropping from the Shadow Case with StatTrak available. The float range stretches the full span from 0.00 to 1.00, covering every possible wear tier. Factory New copies display the arcade-style artwork with strong color saturation and sharp detail, while Battle-Scarred specimens suffer heavy surface degradation that chips away at the painted cabinet design across the weapon body significantly.
Cheapest wear we have on this page. Pattern / float overpay is extra.
Shadow Case: (case+key) ÷ drop chance. Average, not a promise.
Ten of this rarity → Classified in The Shadow Collection. Avg listed output $9.84.
Price History & Performance
Price by Wear
Cases & Drop Odds for M249 | Nebula Crusader
Probability of unboxing this skin per single case open, expected number of opens until you get one, and the case's expected return based on the current market value of every skin inside.
| Case | Drop Chance | Expected Opens | Open Cost | Market EV | EV vs Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Shadow Case | — | — | $5.35 | $0.65 | -87.9% |
Drop chance = official rarity odds ÷ size of that rarity pool inside the case. Market EV is the probability-weighted average of every skin's lowest current listing. "EV vs Cost" compares that EV against the case + key price — negative means opening loses money on average.
Where to Buy M249 | Nebula Crusader
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