M4A1-S | Nightmare
Obtainable from the Horizon Case and placed within The Horizon Collection, the M4A1-S | Nightmare occupies Classified rarity and supports StatTrak tracking. The finish depicts a frightening nocturnal visitor rendered across the silenced rifle's body. Float values span the complete 0 to 1 range, supporting every condition from Factory New through Battle-Scarred. At the lower end of the float spectrum the painted figure retains strong detail and color, while Battle-Scarred copies display heavy wear across the artwork, lending the nocturnal subject a genuinely deteriorated appearance.
Cheapest wear we have on this page. Pattern / float overpay is extra.
Horizon Case: (case+key) ÷ drop chance. Average, not a promise.
Ten of this rarity → Covert in The Horizon Collection. Avg listed output $44.02.
Price History & Performance
Price by Wear
Cases & Drop Odds for M4A1-S | Nightmare
Probability of unboxing this skin per single case open, expected number of opens until you get one, and the case's expected return based on the current market value of every skin inside.
| Case | Drop Chance | Expected Opens | Open Cost | Market EV | EV vs Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Horizon Case | — | — | $5.58 | $0.65 | -88.4% |
Drop chance = official rarity odds ÷ size of that rarity pool inside the case. Market EV is the probability-weighted average of every skin's lowest current listing. "EV vs Cost" compares that EV against the case + key price — negative means opening loses money on average.
Where to Buy M4A1-S | Nightmare
Similar M4A1-S Skins
Community Reviews (0)
Sign in to leave a review and rate this skin.