M4A4 | Asiimov
The M4A4 | Asiimov is a Covert CT rifle skin from The Winter Offensive Collection, obtainable through the Winter Offensive Weapon Case. Its sci-fi-themed custom paint job has become one of the more recognizable designs applied to the M4A4 platform. The float minimum of 0.18 means this skin never appears in Factory New condition; the lowest attainable grade is Minimal Wear, and the range extends all the way to 1.00, so Battle-Scarred examples show heavy visible wear across the body. StatTrak is available.
Cheapest wear we have on this page. Pattern / float overpay is extra.
Winter Offensive Weapon Case: (case+key) ÷ drop chance. Average, not a promise.
Covert / missing collection peers: no contract estimate.
Price History & Performance
Price by Wear
M4A4 | Asiimov cannot roll Factory New, Minimal Wear because its float cap is 0.18–1. Wear ranges.
Cases & Drop Odds for M4A4 | Asiimov
Probability of unboxing this skin per single case open, expected number of opens until you get one, and the case's expected return based on the current market value of every skin inside.
| Case | Drop Chance | Expected Opens | Open Cost | Market EV | EV vs Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Winter Offensive Weapon Case | — | — | $19.30 | $0.65 | -96.6% |
Drop chance = official rarity odds ÷ size of that rarity pool inside the case. Market EV is the probability-weighted average of every skin's lowest current listing. "EV vs Cost" compares that EV against the case + key price — negative means opening loses money on average.
Where to Buy M4A4 | Asiimov
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