M4A4 | Griffin
Hand-painted with a detailed griffin illustration, the M4A4 | Griffin is a Restricted skin from The Vanguard Collection, obtainable via the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case. The mythological creature occupies much of the rifle's surface, and the hand-painted style gives the artwork visible brushwork texture. With floats spanning 0.00 to 0.80, wear accumulates across the upper tiers, dulling the illustrated detail on the stock and receiver at higher values. StatTrak availability is confirmed for this skin. The griffin motif ties into the lore surrounding Felix and his assembled operators.
Cheapest wear we have on this page. Pattern / float overpay is extra.
Operation Vanguard Weapon Case: (case+key) ÷ drop chance. Average, not a promise.
Ten of this rarity → Classified in The Vanguard Collection. Avg listed output $9.25.
Price History & Performance
Price by Wear
Cases & Drop Odds for M4A4 | Griffin
Probability of unboxing this skin per single case open, expected number of opens until you get one, and the case's expected return based on the current market value of every skin inside.
| Case | Drop Chance | Expected Opens | Open Cost | Market EV | EV vs Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | $11.77 | $0.65 | -94.5% |
Drop chance = official rarity odds ÷ size of that rarity pool inside the case. Market EV is the probability-weighted average of every skin's lowest current listing. "EV vs Cost" compares that EV against the case + key price — negative means opening loses money on average.
Where to Buy M4A4 | Griffin
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