M4A4 | Spider Lily
Part of The Operation Riptide Collection and available from the Operation Riptide Case, the M4A4 | Spider Lily sits at Restricted rarity. The finish pairs a dark blue base coat with red spider lily motifs positioned above the magazine and trigger guard. With a float range of 0.00 to 1.00, the skin spans every condition from Factory New to Battle-Scarred, with wear becoming most apparent on the dark base at higher float values. StatTrak is available. The contrasting red florals read clearly against the deep blue in-game.
Cheapest wear we have on this page. Pattern / float overpay is extra.
Operation Riptide Case: (case+key) ÷ drop chance. Average, not a promise.
Ten of this rarity → Classified in The Operation Riptide Collection. Avg listed output $15.14.
Price History & Performance
Price by Wear
Cases & Drop Odds for M4A4 | Spider Lily
Probability of unboxing this skin per single case open, expected number of opens until you get one, and the case's expected return based on the current market value of every skin inside.
| Case | Drop Chance | Expected Opens | Open Cost | Market EV | EV vs Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Operation Riptide Case | — | — | $19.79 | $0.65 | -96.7% |
Drop chance = official rarity odds ÷ size of that rarity pool inside the case. Market EV is the probability-weighted average of every skin's lowest current listing. "EV vs Cost" compares that EV against the case + key price — negative means opening loses money on average.
Where to Buy M4A4 | Spider Lily
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