★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade
The M9 Bayonet was built as a rifle-mounted blade but handles close-quarters engagements with equal capability. The Marble Fade variant is produced by applying black and silver metallic paints through a marbleizing medium, then candy coating the result in three distinct colors, creating a vivid multi-toned marble effect across the blade. Float values are restricted to a maximum of 0.08. StatTrak technology is available for this skin, which can be unboxed from the Chroma Case, Chroma 2 Case, and Chroma 3 Case.
Cheapest wear we have on this page. Pattern / float overpay is extra.
Chroma 2 Case: (case+key) ÷ drop chance. Average, not a promise.
Covert / missing collection peers: no contract estimate.
Price History & Performance
Price by Wear
★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade cannot roll Field-Tested, Well-Worn, Battle-Scarred because its float cap is 0–0.08. Wear ranges.
Pattern guides: CS2 Fade Percent
Cases & Drop Odds for ★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade
Probability of unboxing this skin per single case open, expected number of opens until you get one, and the case's expected return based on the current market value of every skin inside.
| Case | Drop Chance | Expected Opens | Open Cost | Market EV | EV vs Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chroma 2 Case | — | — | $8.49 | $0.65 | -92.3% |
 Chroma Case | — | — | $9.94 | $0.65 | -93.5% |
 Chroma 3 Case | — | — | $7.79 | $0.65 | -91.7% |
Drop chance = official rarity odds ÷ size of that rarity pool inside the case. Market EV is the probability-weighted average of every skin's lowest current listing. "EV vs Cost" compares that EV against the case + key price — negative means opening loses money on average.
Where to Buy ★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade
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