★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched
Designed for both rifle mounting and close-quarters use, the M9 Bayonet in the Scorched finish presents a sun-dappled spray-paint pattern across its surfaces. This Covert knife is available from numerous cases including the eSports 2013 Case, CS:GO Weapon Case 2, eSports 2014 Summer Case, Operation Vanguard Weapon Case, and the Revolver Case, among others. StatTrak availability is offered for this finish. The float range spans 0.06 to 0.80, allowing for variation in surface condition.
Cheapest wear we have on this page. Pattern / float overpay is extra.
eSports 2013 Winter Case: (case+key) ÷ drop chance. Average, not a promise.
Covert / missing collection peers: no contract estimate.
Price History & Performance
Price by Wear
Cases & Drop Odds for ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched
Probability of unboxing this skin per single case open, expected number of opens until you get one, and the case's expected return based on the current market value of every skin inside.
| Case | Drop Chance | Expected Opens | Open Cost | Market EV | EV vs Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 eSports 2013 Winter Case | — | — | $39.11 | $0.65 | -98.3% |
 CS:GO Weapon Case | — | — | $205.65 | $0.65 | -99.7% |
 eSports 2014 Summer Case | — | — | $27.83 | $0.65 | -97.7% |
 Winter Offensive Weapon Case | — | — | $19.30 | $0.65 | -96.6% |
 Operation Bravo Case | — | — | $96.72 | $0.65 | -99.3% |
 CS:GO Weapon Case 3 | — | — | $22.62 | $0.65 | -97.1% |
 eSports 2013 Case | — | — | $83.00 | $0.65 | -99.2% |
 Operation Vanguard Weapon Case | — | — | $11.77 | $0.65 | -94.5% |
 CS:GO Weapon Case 2 | — | — | $38.11 | $0.65 | -98.3% |
 Operation Phoenix Weapon Case | — | — | $8.86 | $0.65 | -92.7% |
 Revolver Case | — | — | $6.96 | $0.65 | -90.7% |
Drop chance = official rarity odds ÷ size of that rarity pool inside the case. Market EV is the probability-weighted average of every skin's lowest current listing. "EV vs Cost" compares that EV against the case + key price — negative means opening loses money on average.
Where to Buy ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched
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