MP9 | Modest Threat
Obtained from the Danger Zone Case and part of The Danger Zone Collection, the MP9 | Modest Threat features a hand-painted orange and black design applied across the SMG's polymer frame. The color combination reads with strong contrast in-game, particularly on cleaner specimens. Float values extend from 0.00 to 0.75, meaning the orange detailing remains vibrant at lower floats while higher wear introduces visible degradation to the painted surfaces. StatTrak versions are available, and the Mil-Spec rarity places the skin at a moderate tier within the Danger Zone Case drop pool.
Cheapest wear we have on this page. Pattern / float overpay is extra.
Danger Zone Case: (case+key) ÷ drop chance. Average, not a promise.
Ten of this rarity → Restricted in The Danger Zone Collection. Avg listed output $0.59.
Price History & Performance
Price by Wear
Cases & Drop Odds for MP9 | Modest Threat
Probability of unboxing this skin per single case open, expected number of opens until you get one, and the case's expected return based on the current market value of every skin inside.
| Case | Drop Chance | Expected Opens | Open Cost | Market EV | EV vs Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Danger Zone Case | — | — | $4.74 | $0.65 | -86.3% |
Drop chance = official rarity odds ÷ size of that rarity pool inside the case. Market EV is the probability-weighted average of every skin's lowest current listing. "EV vs Cost" compares that EV against the case + key price — negative means opening loses money on average.
Where to Buy MP9 | Modest Threat
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