Nova | Ranger
Nova | Ranger is a Mil-Spec shotgun skin sourced from the Falchion Case within The Falchion Collection. Its finish combines a brush-stroke hydrographic base with heat-transfer decals layered on top for added visual texture. StatTrak versions are available. The float range extends from 0 all the way to 1.0, meaning this skin exists across every wear tier. At higher floats the brush-stroke hydrographic shows progressive wear, and the heat-transfer decals become noticeably degraded, while lower float copies preserve the crisper, more detailed appearance of the overlaid decal work.
Cheapest wear we have on this page. Pattern / float overpay is extra.
Falchion Case: (case+key) ÷ drop chance. Average, not a promise.
Ten of this rarity → Restricted in The Falchion Collection. Avg listed output $1.34.
Price History & Performance
Price by Wear
Cases & Drop Odds for Nova | Ranger
Probability of unboxing this skin per single case open, expected number of opens until you get one, and the case's expected return based on the current market value of every skin inside.
| Case | Drop Chance | Expected Opens | Open Cost | Market EV | EV vs Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Falchion Case | — | — | $5.12 | $0.65 | -87.3% |
Drop chance = official rarity odds ÷ size of that rarity pool inside the case. Market EV is the probability-weighted average of every skin's lowest current listing. "EV vs Cost" compares that EV against the case + key price — negative means opening loses money on average.
Where to Buy Nova | Ranger
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