Nova | Rising Sun
The Nova | Rising Sun is a Restricted shotgun skin from The Fever Collection, also available via the Fever Case. Its finish draws on a stained glass Japanese motif, translating traditional craftsmanship onto the Nova's utilitarian frame. The full float range of 0.00 to 1.00 means examples can appear anywhere from crisp and vibrant to heavily weathered, with wear gradually dulling the intricate motif detail. StatTrak versions are available for players who want kill tracking. In sunlight the stained glass inspiration becomes especially apparent, lending the shotgun a distinctive visual character.
Cheapest wear we have on this page. Pattern / float overpay is extra.
Fever Case: (case+key) ÷ drop chance. Average, not a promise.
Ten of this rarity → Classified in The Fever Collection. Avg listed output $4.72.
Price History & Performance
Price by Wear
Cases & Drop Odds for Nova | Rising Sun
Probability of unboxing this skin per single case open, expected number of opens until you get one, and the case's expected return based on the current market value of every skin inside.
| Case | Drop Chance | Expected Opens | Open Cost | Market EV | EV vs Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fever Case | — | — | $3.39 | $0.65 | -80.8% |
Drop chance = official rarity odds ÷ size of that rarity pool inside the case. Market EV is the probability-weighted average of every skin's lowest current listing. "EV vs Cost" compares that EV against the case + key price — negative means opening loses money on average.
Where to Buy Nova | Rising Sun
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