★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened
Produced through color case-hardening at high temperatures with wood charcoal, the ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened distributes blues, purples, and golds unevenly across its blade and handle hardware. It drops from the Horizon Case and Danger Zone Case at Covert rarity. The full float range of 0.00 to 1.00 means every condition grade is attainable, and higher float examples show the case-hardened coloration worn back toward bare metal in patches. StatTrak is available. The ivory handle with brass rivets and saw-tooth ridges frames the heat-treated blade finish distinctively.
Cheapest wear we have on this page. Pattern / float overpay is extra.
Danger Zone Case: (case+key) ÷ drop chance. Average, not a promise.
Covert / missing collection peers: no contract estimate.
Price History & Performance
Price by Wear
Pattern guides: Case Hardened Blue Gem
Cases & Drop Odds for ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened
Probability of unboxing this skin per single case open, expected number of opens until you get one, and the case's expected return based on the current market value of every skin inside.
| Case | Drop Chance | Expected Opens | Open Cost | Market EV | EV vs Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | $4.74 | $0.65 | -86.3% | |
| — | — | $5.58 | $0.65 | -88.4% |
Drop chance = official rarity odds ÷ size of that rarity pool inside the case. Market EV is the probability-weighted average of every skin's lowest current listing. "EV vs Cost" compares that EV against the case + key price — negative means opening loses money on average.
Where to Buy ★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened
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