★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade
The Talon Knife | Marble Fade departs from the standard Doppler two-tone approach by applying a candy coat in three colors over black and silver metallic paints worked through a marbleizing medium. This Covert knife drops from the Prisma Case and Prisma 2 Case, with StatTrak availability included. The float is capped at 0.08, meaning all examples reside at or near Factory New condition. The extremely tight float ceiling keeps the multi-color candy coat and the flowing metallic base layer consistently vivid, with no meaningful surface wear across any obtainable specimen.
Cheapest wear we have on this page. Pattern / float overpay is extra.
Prisma 2 Case: (case+key) ÷ drop chance. Average, not a promise.
Covert / missing collection peers: no contract estimate.
Price History & Performance
Price by Wear
★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade cannot roll Field-Tested, Well-Worn, Battle-Scarred because its float cap is 0–0.08. Wear ranges.
Pattern guides: CS2 Fade Percent
Cases & Drop Odds for ★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade
Probability of unboxing this skin per single case open, expected number of opens until you get one, and the case's expected return based on the current market value of every skin inside.
| Case | Drop Chance | Expected Opens | Open Cost | Market EV | EV vs Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Prisma 2 Case | — | — | $4.74 | $0.65 | -86.3% |
 Prisma Case | — | — | $4.75 | $0.65 | -86.3% |
Drop chance = official rarity odds ÷ size of that rarity pool inside the case. Market EV is the probability-weighted average of every skin's lowest current listing. "EV vs Cost" compares that EV against the case + key price — negative means opening loses money on average.
Where to Buy ★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade
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