★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened
Color case-hardened through application of wood charcoal at high temperatures, the ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened is a Covert knife from the Horizon Case and Danger Zone Case. The process creates a mottled spread of blue, gold, and purple tones across the tanto-style blade's surface, with each copy presenting a different distribution of those colors. Float values cover the complete range from 0.00 to 1.00, and higher-float examples will show the case-hardened surface increasingly worn alongside the color variation. StatTrak availability is confirmed.
Cheapest wear we have on this page. Pattern / float overpay is extra.
Danger Zone Case: (case+key) ÷ drop chance. Average, not a promise.
Covert / missing collection peers: no contract estimate.
Price History & Performance
Price by Wear
Pattern guides: Case Hardened Blue Gem
Cases & Drop Odds for ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened
Probability of unboxing this skin per single case open, expected number of opens until you get one, and the case's expected return based on the current market value of every skin inside.
| Case | Drop Chance | Expected Opens | Open Cost | Market EV | EV vs Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Danger Zone Case | — | — | $4.74 | $0.65 | -86.3% |
 Horizon Case | — | — | $5.58 | $0.65 | -88.4% |
Drop chance = official rarity odds ÷ size of that rarity pool inside the case. Market EV is the probability-weighted average of every skin's lowest current listing. "EV vs Cost" compares that EV against the case + key price — negative means opening loses money on average.
Where to Buy ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened
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