★ Ursus Knife | Fade
Sourced from the Horizon Case and Danger Zone Case, the ★ Ursus Knife | Fade is a Covert knife whose blade has been finished by airbrushing transparent paints over a chrome base coat, producing a smooth color gradient. The tanto-style faceted blade's geometry interacts with the fade gradient in a distinctive way compared to other knife shapes. Float values are tightly bounded between 0.00 and 0.08, keeping all copies within Factory New or Minimal Wear range and preserving the gradient's visual clarity. StatTrak variants are available.
Cheapest wear we have on this page. Pattern / float overpay is extra.
Danger Zone Case: (case+key) ÷ drop chance. Average, not a promise.
Covert / missing collection peers: no contract estimate.
Price History & Performance
Price by Wear
★ Ursus Knife | Fade cannot roll Field-Tested, Well-Worn, Battle-Scarred because its float cap is 0–0.08. Wear ranges.
Pattern guides: CS2 Fade Percent
Cases & Drop Odds for ★ Ursus Knife | Fade
Probability of unboxing this skin per single case open, expected number of opens until you get one, and the case's expected return based on the current market value of every skin inside.
| Case | Drop Chance | Expected Opens | Open Cost | Market EV | EV vs Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Danger Zone Case | — | — | $4.74 | $0.65 | -86.3% |
 Horizon Case | — | — | $5.58 | $0.65 | -88.4% |
Drop chance = official rarity odds ÷ size of that rarity pool inside the case. Market EV is the probability-weighted average of every skin's lowest current listing. "EV vs Cost" compares that EV against the case + key price — negative means opening loses money on average.
Where to Buy ★ Ursus Knife | Fade
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