★ Ursus Knife | Scorched
The ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched features a sun-dappled spray-paint pattern applied to the tanto-style blade and handle of this Covert survival knife. It drops from the Horizon Case and Danger Zone Case. The float range begins at 0.06 and extends to 0.80, excluding both Factory New and Battle-Scarred grades. At the lower end of the range the dappled pattern is cleanest; toward 0.80 wear strips back the painted areas noticeably. StatTrak is available. The faceted blade geometry interacts with the mottled pattern, creating varied light behavior on the surface in-game.
Cheapest wear we have on this page. Pattern / float overpay is extra.
Danger Zone Case: (case+key) ÷ drop chance. Average, not a promise.
Covert / missing collection peers: no contract estimate.
Price History & Performance
Price by Wear
Cases & Drop Odds for ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched
Probability of unboxing this skin per single case open, expected number of opens until you get one, and the case's expected return based on the current market value of every skin inside.
| Case | Drop Chance | Expected Opens | Open Cost | Market EV | EV vs Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Danger Zone Case | — | — | $4.74 | $0.65 | -86.3% |
 Horizon Case | — | — | $5.58 | $0.65 | -88.4% |
Drop chance = official rarity odds ÷ size of that rarity pool inside the case. Market EV is the probability-weighted average of every skin's lowest current listing. "EV vs Cost" compares that EV against the case + key price — negative means opening loses money on average.
Where to Buy ★ Ursus Knife | Scorched
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