XM1014 | Incinegator
The XM1014 | Incinegator is a Classified skin from The Prisma Collection, also obtainable from the Prisma Case. A custom paint job resembling a gator spitting fire has been applied across the shotgun's body. StatTrak versions are available. The float range begins at 0.14, meaning no Factory New copy can exist, and caps at 0.65, stopping short of Battle-Scarred. Every obtainable example therefore shows some baseline wear, with the minimum float already showing slight surface marks, while the upper end more prominently erodes the fiery gator artwork.
Cheapest wear we have on this page. Pattern / float overpay is extra.
Prisma Case: (case+key) ÷ drop chance. Average, not a promise.
Ten of this rarity → Covert in The Prisma Collection. Avg listed output $54.08.
Price History & Performance
Price by Wear
XM1014 | Incinegator cannot roll Factory New because its float cap is 0.14–0.65. Wear ranges.
Cases & Drop Odds for XM1014 | Incinegator
Probability of unboxing this skin per single case open, expected number of opens until you get one, and the case's expected return based on the current market value of every skin inside.
| Case | Drop Chance | Expected Opens | Open Cost | Market EV | EV vs Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Prisma Case | — | — | $4.75 | $0.65 | -86.3% |
Drop chance = official rarity odds ÷ size of that rarity pool inside the case. Market EV is the probability-weighted average of every skin's lowest current listing. "EV vs Cost" compares that EV against the case + key price — negative means opening loses money on average.
Where to Buy XM1014 | Incinegator
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