XM1014 | Tranquility
Classified in rarity and part of The Vanguard Collection, the XM1014 | Tranquility carries a hand-painted image of a long-haired woman across its body. Available from the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case, the design draws on the fictional Imogen and The Oni narrative. Its float range caps at 0.5, so the skin never reaches Battle-Scarred condition, keeping the painted figure relatively legible even at higher wear values. StatTrak is available, letting players record kills with this distinctive, portrait-style Classified shotgun finish.
Cheapest wear we have on this page. Pattern / float overpay is extra.
Operation Vanguard Weapon Case: (case+key) ÷ drop chance. Average, not a promise.
Ten of this rarity → Covert in The Vanguard Collection. Avg listed output $76.02.
Price History & Performance
Price by Wear
Cases & Drop Odds for XM1014 | Tranquility
Probability of unboxing this skin per single case open, expected number of opens until you get one, and the case's expected return based on the current market value of every skin inside.
| Case | Drop Chance | Expected Opens | Open Cost | Market EV | EV vs Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Operation Vanguard Weapon Case | — | — | $11.77 | $0.65 | -94.5% |
Drop chance = official rarity odds ÷ size of that rarity pool inside the case. Market EV is the probability-weighted average of every skin's lowest current listing. "EV vs Cost" compares that EV against the case + key price — negative means opening loses money on average.
Where to Buy XM1014 | Tranquility
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