★ Bayonet | Blue Steel
Cold bluing is the finishing process behind the ★ Bayonet | Blue Steel, a Covert knife available with StatTrak tracking. The treatment produces a deep blue-grey metallic tone that shifts subtly depending on lighting conditions. With floats spanning the full 0 to 1 range, heavy wear gradually dulls and scratches the blued surfaces, while lower floats preserve the characteristic steel sheen. This bayonet has appeared across numerous cases, reflecting the enduring relevance of the bayonet design, which has seen continued military use through recent conflicts.
Cheapest wear we have on this page. Pattern / float overpay is extra.
eSports 2013 Winter Case: (case+key) ÷ drop chance. Average, not a promise.
Covert / missing collection peers: no contract estimate.
Price History & Performance
Price by Wear
Cases & Drop Odds for ★ Bayonet | Blue Steel
Probability of unboxing this skin per single case open, expected number of opens until you get one, and the case's expected return based on the current market value of every skin inside.
| Case | Drop Chance | Expected Opens | Open Cost | Market EV | EV vs Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 eSports 2013 Winter Case | 0.0130% | 7,692 | $39.11 | $0.65 | -98.3% |
 CS:GO Weapon Case | 0.0130% | 7,692 | $205.65 | $0.65 | -99.7% |
 eSports 2014 Summer Case | 0.0130% | 7,692 | $27.83 | $0.65 | -97.7% |
 Winter Offensive Weapon Case | 0.0130% | 7,692 | $19.30 | $0.65 | -96.6% |
 Operation Bravo Case | 0.0130% | 7,692 | $96.72 | $0.65 | -99.3% |
 CS:GO Weapon Case 3 | 0.0130% | 7,692 | $22.62 | $0.65 | -97.1% |
 eSports 2013 Case | 0.0130% | 7,692 | $83.00 | $0.65 | -99.2% |
 Operation Vanguard Weapon Case | 0.0130% | 7,692 | $11.77 | $0.65 | -94.5% |
 CS:GO Weapon Case 2 | 0.0130% | 7,692 | $38.11 | $0.65 | -98.3% |
 Operation Phoenix Weapon Case | 0.0130% | 7,692 | $8.86 | $0.65 | -92.7% |
 Revolver Case | 0.0130% | 7,692 | $6.96 | $0.65 | -90.7% |
Drop chance = official rarity odds ÷ size of that rarity pool inside the case. Market EV is the probability-weighted average of every skin's lowest current listing. "EV vs Cost" compares that EV against the case + key price — negative means opening loses money on average.
Where to Buy ★ Bayonet | Blue Steel
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