★ Bowie Knife | Marble Fade
The Bowie Knife | Marble Fade achieves its look by first applying black and silver metallic paints through a marbleizing medium, then finishing with a candy coat in three distinct colors. Available from the Spectrum Case and Spectrum 2 Case, this Covert knife also comes in StatTrak. Its float range is tightly constrained between 0.00 and 0.08, meaning all obtainable copies sit within Factory New or Minimal Wear at most, preserving the vivid candy-coated color transitions with minimal surface degradation visible on the blade.
Cheapest wear we have on this page. Pattern / float overpay is extra.
Spectrum Case: (case+key) ÷ drop chance. Average, not a promise.
Covert / missing collection peers: no contract estimate.
Price History & Performance
Price by Wear
★ Bowie Knife | Marble Fade cannot roll Field-Tested, Well-Worn, Battle-Scarred because its float cap is 0–0.08. Wear ranges.
Pattern guides: CS2 Fade Percent
Cases & Drop Odds for ★ Bowie Knife | Marble Fade
Probability of unboxing this skin per single case open, expected number of opens until you get one, and the case's expected return based on the current market value of every skin inside.
| Case | Drop Chance | Expected Opens | Open Cost | Market EV | EV vs Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Spectrum Case | 0.0130% | 7,692 | $8.51 | $0.65 | -92.4% |
 Spectrum 2 Case | 0.0130% | 7,692 | $7.24 | $0.65 | -91.0% |
Drop chance = official rarity odds ÷ size of that rarity pool inside the case. Market EV is the probability-weighted average of every skin's lowest current listing. "EV vs Cost" compares that EV against the case + key price — negative means opening loses money on average.
Where to Buy ★ Bowie Knife | Marble Fade
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