★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade
Sourced from the Spectrum Case and Spectrum 2 Case, the Butterfly Knife Marble Fade is a Covert balisong finished by painting the blade and handle with black and silver metallic paints that blend into a marble-like fading effect. The fan-like pivoting mechanism that defines the butterfly knife format allows for rapid opening and concealment — a trait that has led to the weapon's prohibition in numerous countries. Float is capped between 0 and 0.08, keeping surfaces near pristine. StatTrak versions are available.
Cheapest wear we have on this page. Pattern / float overpay is extra.
Spectrum 2 Case: (case+key) ÷ drop chance. Average, not a promise.
Covert / missing collection peers: no contract estimate.
Price History & Performance
Price by Wear
★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade cannot roll Field-Tested, Well-Worn, Battle-Scarred because its float cap is 0–0.08. Wear ranges.
Pattern guides: CS2 Fade Percent
Cases & Drop Odds for ★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade
Probability of unboxing this skin per single case open, expected number of opens until you get one, and the case's expected return based on the current market value of every skin inside.
| Case | Drop Chance | Expected Opens | Open Cost | Market EV | EV vs Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Spectrum 2 Case | 0.0130% | 7,692 | $7.24 | $0.65 | -91.0% |
 Spectrum Case | 0.0130% | 7,692 | $8.51 | $0.65 | -92.4% |
Drop chance = official rarity odds ÷ size of that rarity pool inside the case. Market EV is the probability-weighted average of every skin's lowest current listing. "EV vs Cost" compares that EV against the case + key price — negative means opening loses money on average.
Where to Buy ★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade
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