M249 | Warbird
Originally depicted as blue with a yellow heat shield, age and use have visibly degraded the M249 | Warbird's appearance as part of its design intent. This Mil-Spec skin from The Shattered Web Collection drops from the Shattered Web Case and offers StatTrak availability. The float range runs from 0.05 to 0.65, keeping it out of Battle-Scarred territory entirely. Even at lower floats the worn aesthetic is inherent to the finish, with higher values intensifying the faded, weathered look across the heat shield and frame.
Cheapest wear we have on this page. Pattern / float overpay is extra.
Shattered Web Case: (case+key) ÷ drop chance. Average, not a promise.
Ten of this rarity → Restricted in The Shattered Web Collection. Avg listed output $2.24.
Price History & Performance
Price by Wear
Cases & Drop Odds for M249 | Warbird
Probability of unboxing this skin per single case open, expected number of opens until you get one, and the case's expected return based on the current market value of every skin inside.
| Case | Drop Chance | Expected Opens | Open Cost | Market EV | EV vs Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Shattered Web Case | — | — | $12.04 | $0.65 | -94.6% |
Drop chance = official rarity odds ÷ size of that rarity pool inside the case. Market EV is the probability-weighted average of every skin's lowest current listing. "EV vs Cost" compares that EV against the case + key price — negative means opening loses money on average.
Where to Buy M249 | Warbird
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