M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire
M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire occupies the Covert rarity tier within The Chroma 3 Collection and is available from the Chroma 3 Case. The silenced rifle has been hand painted in vibrant colors with a smiley face accent on the stock. Float range extends from 0 to 0.99, covering nearly every wear state; battle-scarred copies show significant paint deterioration that visibly softens the vibrant hand-painted details. StatTrak versions exist, allowing kill tracking on this colorful covert-tier M4A1-S.
Cheapest wear we have on this page. Pattern / float overpay is extra.
Chroma 3 Case: (case+key) ÷ drop chance. Average, not a promise.
Covert / missing collection peers: no contract estimate.
Price History & Performance
Price by Wear
Cases & Drop Odds for M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire
Probability of unboxing this skin per single case open, expected number of opens until you get one, and the case's expected return based on the current market value of every skin inside.
| Case | Drop Chance | Expected Opens | Open Cost | Market EV | EV vs Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chroma 3 Case | — | — | $7.79 | $0.65 | -91.7% |
Drop chance = official rarity odds ÷ size of that rarity pool inside the case. Market EV is the probability-weighted average of every skin's lowest current listing. "EV vs Cost" compares that EV against the case + key price — negative means opening loses money on average.
Where to Buy M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire
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