M4A1-S | Dark Water
Restricted to a narrow float band of 0.10 to 0.26, the M4A1-S | Dark Water exists only in Field-Tested and Minimal Wear condition, with no Factory New or Battle-Scarred copies possible. The skin belongs to The Arms Deal Collection and drops from CS:GO Weapon Case, with StatTrak versions available. Charcoal metallic paints of varying reflectivities were layered over a chrome base in an aquatic-stripe pattern, giving the silenced rifle a deep, moody underwater quality. The narrow float window means visual differences between the cleanest and most worn examples are relatively subtle.
Cheapest wear we have on this page. Pattern / float overpay is extra.
CS:GO Weapon Case: (case+key) ÷ drop chance. Average, not a promise.
Ten of this rarity → Classified in The Arms Deal Collection. Avg listed output $194.16.
Price History & Performance
Price by Wear
M4A1-S | Dark Water cannot roll Factory New, Well-Worn, Battle-Scarred because its float cap is 0.1–0.26. Wear ranges.
Cases & Drop Odds for M4A1-S | Dark Water
Probability of unboxing this skin per single case open, expected number of opens until you get one, and the case's expected return based on the current market value of every skin inside.
| Case | Drop Chance | Expected Opens | Open Cost | Market EV | EV vs Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 CS:GO Weapon Case | — | — | $205.65 | $0.65 | -99.7% |
Drop chance = official rarity odds ÷ size of that rarity pool inside the case. Market EV is the probability-weighted average of every skin's lowest current listing. "EV vs Cost" compares that EV against the case + key price — negative means opening loses money on average.
Where to Buy M4A1-S | Dark Water
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