★ M9 Bayonet | Fade
Originally engineered for mounting on a rifle, the M9 Bayonet transitions naturally to close-quarters combat. The Fade finish is achieved by airbrushing transparent paints over a chrome base coat, causing multiple hues to blend smoothly into one another across the blade. The float range runs from 0 to 0.08, meaning all examples remain in near-pristine condition. StatTrak technology is available for this skin, which appears across a wide range of cases including the CS:GO Weapon Case, eSports 2013 Case, Operation Bravo Case, and many others up through the Revolver Case.
Cheapest wear we have on this page. Pattern / float overpay is extra.
Operation Vanguard Weapon Case: (case+key) ÷ drop chance. Average, not a promise.
Covert / missing collection peers: no contract estimate.
Price History & Performance
Price by Wear
★ M9 Bayonet | Fade cannot roll Field-Tested, Well-Worn, Battle-Scarred because its float cap is 0–0.08. Wear ranges.
Pattern guides: CS2 Fade Percent
Cases & Drop Odds for ★ M9 Bayonet | Fade
Probability of unboxing this skin per single case open, expected number of opens until you get one, and the case's expected return based on the current market value of every skin inside.
| Case | Drop Chance | Expected Opens | Open Cost | Market EV | EV vs Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Operation Vanguard Weapon Case | — | — | $11.77 | $0.65 | -94.5% |
 Operation Bravo Case | — | — | $96.72 | $0.65 | -99.3% |
 eSports 2013 Winter Case | — | — | $39.11 | $0.65 | -98.3% |
 CS:GO Weapon Case 3 | — | — | $22.62 | $0.65 | -97.1% |
 Winter Offensive Weapon Case | — | — | $19.30 | $0.65 | -96.6% |
 eSports 2014 Summer Case | — | — | $27.83 | $0.65 | -97.7% |
 eSports 2013 Case | — | — | $83.00 | $0.65 | -99.2% |
 Operation Phoenix Weapon Case | — | — | $8.86 | $0.65 | -92.7% |
 Revolver Case | — | — | $6.96 | $0.65 | -90.7% |
 CS:GO Weapon Case | — | — | $205.65 | $0.65 | -99.7% |
 CS:GO Weapon Case 2 | — | — | $38.11 | $0.65 | -98.3% |
Drop chance = official rarity odds ÷ size of that rarity pool inside the case. Market EV is the probability-weighted average of every skin's lowest current listing. "EV vs Cost" compares that EV against the case + key price — negative means opening loses money on average.
Where to Buy ★ M9 Bayonet | Fade
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