★ Navaja Knife | Scorched
Spray-painted in a sun-dappled pattern, the Navaja Knife | Scorched gives an earthy, mottled appearance to the marble-enamel-handled navaja's compact, tapered blade. Valve pairs the finish with a quote from Valeria Jenner noting that the phoenix represents rebirth, not destruction. The Horizon Case and Danger Zone Case are the sources for this Covert knife. Its float range spans 0.06 to 0.80, and StatTrak technology is available on this skin.
Cheapest wear we have on this page. Pattern / float overpay is extra.
Danger Zone Case: (case+key) ÷ drop chance. Average, not a promise.
Covert / missing collection peers: no contract estimate.
Price History & Performance
Price by Wear
Cases & Drop Odds for ★ Navaja Knife | Scorched
Probability of unboxing this skin per single case open, expected number of opens until you get one, and the case's expected return based on the current market value of every skin inside.
| Case | Drop Chance | Expected Opens | Open Cost | Market EV | EV vs Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Danger Zone Case | 0.0130% | 7,692 | $4.74 | $0.65 | -86.3% |
 Horizon Case | 0.0130% | 7,692 | $5.58 | $0.65 | -88.4% |
Drop chance = official rarity odds ÷ size of that rarity pool inside the case. Market EV is the probability-weighted average of every skin's lowest current listing. "EV vs Cost" compares that EV against the case + key price — negative means opening loses money on average.
Where to Buy ★ Navaja Knife | Scorched
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