Nova | Graphite
Drawn from The Arms Deal 2 Collection and obtainable via CS:GO Weapon Case 2, the Nova | Graphite applies a polygon pattern rendered in metallic paints of varying reflectivities over a chrome base coat. This layered approach produces subtle shifts in shading depending on viewing angle and lighting conditions in-game. The float range is tightly constrained between 0.00 and 0.12, meaning every copy grades out at Factory New or Minimal Wear, keeping the angular geometric pattern crisp and well-defined. StatTrak versions are also available.
Cheapest wear we have on this page. Pattern / float overpay is extra.
CS:GO Weapon Case 2: (case+key) ÷ drop chance. Average, not a promise.
Ten of this rarity → Classified in The Arms Deal 2 Collection. Avg listed output $119.77.
Price History & Performance
Price by Wear
Nova | Graphite cannot roll Field-Tested, Well-Worn, Battle-Scarred because its float cap is 0–0.12. Wear ranges.
Cases & Drop Odds for Nova | Graphite
Probability of unboxing this skin per single case open, expected number of opens until you get one, and the case's expected return based on the current market value of every skin inside.
| Case | Drop Chance | Expected Opens | Open Cost | Market EV | EV vs Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 CS:GO Weapon Case 2 | — | — | $38.11 | $0.65 | -98.3% |
Drop chance = official rarity odds ÷ size of that rarity pool inside the case. Market EV is the probability-weighted average of every skin's lowest current listing. "EV vs Cost" compares that EV against the case + key price — negative means opening loses money on average.
Where to Buy Nova | Graphite
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