UMP-45 | Moonrise
The UMP-45 Moonrise is a Restricted SMG skin from the Prisma Case and The Prisma Collection. Its design places a randomized city landscape silhouette in the foreground beneath a full moon set against a purple-red night sky, giving the weapon a moody atmospheric finish. Float values range from 0.00 to 0.40, which caps wear within Field-Tested and keeps the sky gradients and city profile legible across the available condition range without reaching heavier degradation. StatTrak technology is available on the Moonrise for players who track their kills.
Cheapest wear we have on this page. Pattern / float overpay is extra.
Prisma Case: (case+key) ÷ drop chance. Average, not a promise.
Ten of this rarity → Classified in The Prisma Collection. Avg listed output $6.17.
Price History & Performance
Price by Wear
UMP-45 | Moonrise cannot roll Battle-Scarred because its float cap is 0–0.4. Wear ranges.
Cases & Drop Odds for UMP-45 | Moonrise
Probability of unboxing this skin per single case open, expected number of opens until you get one, and the case's expected return based on the current market value of every skin inside.
| Case | Drop Chance | Expected Opens | Open Cost | Market EV | EV vs Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Prisma Case | — | — | $4.75 | $0.65 | -86.3% |
Drop chance = official rarity odds ÷ size of that rarity pool inside the case. Market EV is the probability-weighted average of every skin's lowest current listing. "EV vs Cost" compares that EV against the case + key price — negative means opening loses money on average.
Where to Buy UMP-45 | Moonrise
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